Let this serve as a warning.
American media is always filled with the leftist rantings of liberals who demand that we “pull out now” and “re-deploy” but if this example of what happened in Basra is an omen of the future then we need not listen to such cries from the defeatism of the left.
As British forces pull back from Basra in southern Iraq, Shiite militias there have escalated a violent battle against each other for political supremacy and control over oil resources, deepening concerns among some U.S. officials in Baghdad that elements of Iraq’s Shiite-dominated national government will turn on one another once U.S. troops begin to draw down.
I don’t want to say “I told you so” but hasn’t this been the scenario that every Bush Administration official has warned us about ever since the Democrats have tried to get us to leave Iraq? Basra used to be one of the most stable regions in southern Iraq, but ever since the British forces pulled out a while back it has rapidly fallen in to sectarian war and violence. Not caused by a military presence but of a lack thereof.
“The British have basically been defeated in the south,” a senior U.S. intelligence official said recently in Baghdad. They are abandoning their former headquarters at Basra Palace, where a recent official visitor from London described them as “surrounded like cowboys and Indians” by militia fighters. An airport base outside the city, where a regional U.S. Embassy office and Britain’s remaining 5,500 troops are barricaded behind building-high sandbags, has been attacked with mortars or rockets nearly 600 times over the past four months.
That sucks. I wonder when it all began falling apart?
Britain sent about 40,000 troops to Iraq — the second-largest contingent, after that of the United States, at the time of the March 2003 invasion — and focused its efforts on the south. With few problems from outside terrorists or sectarian violence, the British began withdrawing, and by early 2005 only 9,000 troops remained. British Prime Minister Tony Blair announced further drawdowns early this year before leaving office.
Ah. There’s where it went wrong.
What did they expect? They lowered a massive force to less than a fourth of what it was to begin with, and then told their troops to begin pulling back and just to stay within Basra palace and the airport. The security was lowered prematurely and now the militias and the insurgency have begun taking over the area once again. I wonder what the U.S. has had to say about this situation:
The administration has been reluctant to publicly criticize the British withdrawal. But a British defense expert serving as a consultant in Baghdad acknowledged in an e-mail that the United States “has been very concerned for some time now about a) the lawless situation in Basra and b) the political and military impact of the British pullback.” The expert added that this “has been expressed at the highest levels” by the U.S. government to British authorities.
I don’t think now is the time to be reluctant about criticizing the British pullout. I think it’s about time that it is acknowledged for what it was, and that is that the British pullout was a horrible mistake that has left the region in jeopardy. And since it doesn’t look like British forces will be beefed up there to try and reclaim the region I can honestly say that this doesn’t look to good for anyone still trying to stabilize Iraq.
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